npj Systems Biology and Applications
○ Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Preprints posted in the last 30 days, ranked by how well they match npj Systems Biology and Applications's content profile, based on 125 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.08% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Zhu, H.; Wan, C.; Yang, M.; Fang, Y.; An, Z.; Swaminathan, P.; Dang, P.; Li, Z.; Wang, J.; Wang, Y.; Chen, Y.; Ma, A.; Ma, Q.; Kelley, M. R.; Cao, S.; Fishel, M. L.; Zhang, C.
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Assessing metabolic variations and flux quantities enable systematic understandings of metabolic shifts, reprogramming, adaptation and interactions in human diseases. However, omics-based estimation of metabolic flux and its variation remains challenging due to several fundamental limitations: the need for disease and tissue context specific metabolic model; nonlinear enzyme kinetic model that links enzyme and substrate changes to reaction flux; partial, unpaired, and snap-shot measurements across omics modalities; and uncertainty in computational prediction. Here, we present Michaelis-Menten model-based Flux Estimation Analysis (mmFEA), a Monte Carlo framework for estimating condition-specific flux changes by integrating paired or unpaired metabolomics and transcriptomics (or proteomics) data. mmFEA separates each reaction-rate change into enzyme- and substrate-associated components and assess reaction rate using Michaelis-Menten kinetics equation. A baseline metabolite saturation rate is introduced by integrating protein language model predicted kinetic parameters and human baseline level metabolic concentration to enable kinetic-aware integration of unpaired substrate and enzyme level measurements. Distribution of metabolic flux and variations between conditions are further computed using MCMC sampling by treating Michaelis-Menten-derived marginal flux distribution as prior and coherency in flux balance as likelihood. To benchmark mmFEA, we generated an in-house multi-omics data set including transcriptomics, metabolomics, metabolic activity functional assay, and CRISPR screening data using pancreatic cancer cell line system treated by APEX1 inhibitors. We demonstrated that mmFEA could accurately capture experimentally observed metabolic changes and achieved a better performance than all baseline methods. Our analysis revealed the necessity in using both substrate and enzyme modality and kinetic aware model in metabolic flux assessment. Further analysis using independent pancreatic cancer cohorts further validated the robustness of mmFEA, supporting integration of condition-linked unpaired data. Pan-cancer and spatial multi-omic applications demonstrated the use of mmFEA for resolving context-dependent metabolic variation when direct flux measurements are unavailable. Together, mmFEA provides a mechanistically grounded framework for estimating relative metabolic flux changes and their uncertainty from heterogeneous omics data.
Lucenti, N. J.; Bani-Yaghoub, M.
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Oscillatory and saturating dynamics in regulatory gene networks govern processes such as cell cycle timing, circadian rhythms, and inflammatory signaling, and sparse regression methods such as SINDy offer an interpretable method for recovering their governing equations from time-series data. However, these networks are typically governed by Hill-type nonlinearities that become nearly collinear with polynomial candidates over most bounds of an oscillating curve, and placing them in a shared library produces ill-conditioned regressions and unreliable coefficient estimates. Standard approaches such as ridge regularization, library normalization, and orthogonalization can marginally improve conditioning but cannot remove the structural multicollinearity of these systems, in turn limiting our ability to produce accurate parameter estimates. To address this issue, we propose the Regulation-Informed Sparse Identification of Nonlinear Dynamics (RI-SINDy) method, which removes known regulatory terms from the regression and recovers their coefficients directly from an asymptotic drift-balance condition. Because the time averaged derivative of a bounded trajectory approaches zero, the coefficients of regulatory nonlinearities can be computed independently by constraining them to offset the mean contribution of the remaining terms. We demonstrate that this method effectively reduces library collinearity and improves conditioning numbers by 3-45x, substantially improving coefficient recovery and regression accuracy. We test the RI-SINDy method on experimental Hes1 data and on synthetic Goodwin and NF-{kappa}B models. On Hes1, it achieves the lowest trajectory error among the compared methods (Traditional SINDy, SR3, and Nullcline Reconstruction). On the synthetic systems, it recovers the correct sparse structure with lower trajectory error than SR3 and Nullcline Reconstruction, and in a Goodwin noise sweep it recovers all active terms at noise levels up to 15%, where Traditional SINDy and E-SINDy fail to. In conclusion, the RI-SINDy method provides a robust framework to overcome the issue of multicollinearity for system identification in biological systems.
Karim, R.; Ghosh, D.
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Abstract Background: Immune-mediated skin diseases frequently co-occur, but the molecular architecture connecting clinically distinct disorders, and the extent to which molecular proximity predicts shared therapeutic opportunity, remain incompletely defined. We constructed a multilayer skin diseasome integrating transcriptomic overlap, pathway enrichment, protein-interactome topology, curated disease associations, real-world clinical co-occurrence, and drug-perturbation signatures across psoriasis (PS), atopic dermatitis (AD), hidradenitis suppurativa (HS), vitiligo (VL), and chronic spontaneous urticaria (CSU), using sodium lauryl sulfate-induced irritant contact dermatitis (SLS-ICD) as a mechanistically distinct barrier-injury comparator. Methods: Differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were derived from publicly available NCBI Gene Expression Omnibus datasets and compared using exclusive pairwise and higher-order intersections. Gene Ontology biological-process enrichment characterized shared and condition-specific programs. Interactome-based network separation (S_AB) quantified the relative topological proximity of disease modules. DisGeNET enrichment generated candidate disease +associations, a selected subset of which was examined descriptively for patient co-occurrence in TriNetX. Candidate compounds were ranked by reversal of disease-associated expression signatures against LINCS L1000 perturbation profiles. Results: The largest exclusive DEG intersection occurred between PS and HS (2,060 genes), followed by AD-PS-HS (490), VL-PS (464), AD-PS (402), and VL-PS-HS (379). Fourteen genes were shared across PS, AD, HS, VL, and CSU but not SLS-ICD. Neutrophil-associated processes recurred across the immune-mediated conditions, whereas SLS-ICD was dominated by keratinization and epidermal-differentiation programs. PS and HS had the lowest observed network-separation value (S_AB = -0.594); SLS-ICD had positive S_AB values in all five comparisons, although this separation did not persist once module sizes were harmonized. DisGeNET linked the index conditions to diverse immune, cardiovascular, neurologic, and neoplastic categories; 42 of these candidate diseases were observed to co-occur with an index condition in the queried TriNetX cohorts. Drug-signature overlap was greatest between PS and CSU, despite their marginal interactome separation, indicating that interactome proximity and predicted pharmacologic reversal capture different dimensions of disease relatedness. mTOR/PI3K-pathway inhibitors were prominent among the psoriasis reversal candidates, while methotrexate and mycophenolate mofetil emerged from both the CSU signature and the curated gene set associated with HIV infection. Conclusion: Multilayer integration identified a connected molecular core among five immune-mediated skin diseases and a distinct SLS-ICD injury module. The discordance between interactome proximity and drug-signature overlap suggests that no single layer adequately defines disease relatedness. These findings provide a hypothesis-generating framework for prioritizing disease links and repurposing candidates, but controlled epidemiologic analyses and experimental validation are required before clinical or therapeutic inference.
Das, D.; Charan, K.; Kar, S.
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Obesity is a major health concern worldwide and is caused by an excessive fat accumulation in the body due to adipogenesis. Recent studies suggest that excessive stress or disruption of circadian rhythms can enhance adipogenic commitment and lead to obesity. Moreover, this adipogenic commitment occurs at a specific time of day, highlighting a correlation with the circadian rhythm. However, the dynamical nature of this kind of stress-induced adipogenic differentiation remains an unresolved puzzle. Herein, we proposed a mathematical model centred on the key transcription factor PPAR{gamma}, associated with adipogenic differentiation, and demonstrated that adipogenic commitment is a bistable, irreversible differentiation process in which slow positive feedback regulation of PPAR{gamma} primarily controls the differentiation commitment threshold. The model reproduced the experimental observations regarding the extent of adipogenesis induced by constant and pulsatile stress input signals and explained the correlation between adipogenic differentiation time and circadian phase. It further predicts how to control the adipogenic commitment even under stressful conditions. Overall, our study elucidates how stress signalling dynamically governs adipogenesis.
Fontaine, C.; Smirnov, I.
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Metabolic profiles are used to quantify disturbance, classify disease and infer biochemical function, yet these endpoints retain different information. We combine secondary analysis of 386 metabolites in six Arabidopsis thaliana mutation accumulation lines, known-disease classification in 129 public human metabolic-disease profiles, and an analytically solvable kinetic model. A conditional occupancy model separates annotation-bin breadth from hit count and measured bin sizes: the plant low-versus-high fitness comparison changes from a two-sided exact permutation p = 0.10 to p = 0.30 after calibration. Unsigned metabolite profiles achieve mean macro recall of 0.911 and 0.895 in separate EDTA and heparin subsets, compared with 0.624 and 0.382 for a burden baseline. However, controlled loss of 50% of held-out measurements reverses representation ranking in heparin, giving signed profiles a recall advantage of 0.108 with a conditional bootstrap interval of 0.063-0.155. A spectral decomposition identifies the within-pathway contrasts attenuated by smoothing. The kinetic model then shows that lower concentration and faster relaxation can coexist with reduced desired product flux, while a null-space criterion states when observations identify a metabolic task. The results connect assay coverage, diagnostic information and functional identifiability. Human performance is internally validated, and the kinetic predictions remain uncalibrated to patients.
Rarani, Z. H.; Keshari, S.; Sachan, A.; Saini, A.; Pease, N. A.; Fan, J.; Fu, A.; Liu, Y. C.; Gurkar, A. U.; Delgoffe, G. M.; Singh, H.; Das, J.
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Gene regulatory networks (GRNs) model causal linkages that control cell fate decisions and differentiation transitions. Prioritizing regulatory subnetworks underlying cell state differences is of critical importance, but current methods including those reliant on topological metrics introduce circularity as the metrics prioritizing TFs are computed from the same networks whose assumptions they inherit. Separately, interpretable machine learning methods can identify latent factors (LFs) that discriminate cellular states with formal statistical guarantees but do not model regulatory linkages. Here, we present FOCAL (Factor-Outcome Coupling for Assessment of Linkages), a paradigm to prioritize regulatory subnetworks by coupling state-specific and dynamic GRNs with outcome-supervised LFs learned using interpretable machine learning without reference to network topology. This shifts GRN focus from macroscopic TF nodes to state-specific and dynamic TF-gene linkages. In B and T cells, FOCAL identified GIFs (GRNs coupled to Interpretable latent Factors), prioritized regulatory subnetworks underlying established states as well as transient regulatory episodes preceding them. By coupling LFs learnt from perturbation experiments of lineage-defining TFs, FOCAL identified transcriptional predisposition to alternative fates within progenitor cell populations before overt differentiation. This uncovered a novel NFATC2-IRF8 interplay in activated B cells, that was validated by in-vitro and in-vivo genetic perturbations. The two transcription factors act cooperatively to restrain extrafollicular plasmablast differentiation and promote germinal center B cell fate.
Ball, B. K.; Al-Humadi, R.; Zdravkovic, S.; Ilerten, I.; Benard, B. A.; Howitt, B. E.; Gentles, A. J.
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Aggressive tumor progression and distant metastases of cancers such as cutaneous melanoma are thought to be preceded by regional lymph node (LN) infiltration. Previous mouse studies have selectively enriched for tumor cells with enhanced LN migratory capacity but the mechanistic biology underpinning this proclivity has not been directly linked to human outcomes. Likewise, the exact role LN colonization plays in distant metastasis in humans remains unclear. To translate and conserve findings from mouse models to humans, we used a computational framework termed Translatable Components Regression (TransComp-R) to integrate mouse LN tumor samples with human primary and metastatic tumors. We identified transcriptional programs of early- and late-stage mouse tumor generations that stratified primary and metastatic tumors from patients with melanoma. These transcriptional programs associated with immune function, cell cycle checkpoints, and DNA-to-protein biosynthesis pathways. We then employed EcoTyper and identified six distinct melanoma-specific cellular communities (ecotypes) comprising co-occurring cell states. Of these six melanoma ecotypes, we identified a community strongly associated with primary tumor cells, while the other five represented a spectrum of metastatic tumor microenvironments with increased adverse outcomes. These ecotypes and their significantly expressed genes may contribute to the tumor-immune microenvironment that facilitates LN colonization in melanoma. We further validated the physical co-localization of these melanoma ecotypes using spatial transcriptomics. Our integration of pre-clinical models with human data reveals potential biological pathways and transcriptomic signatures for future investigation and supports the utility of mouse models in studying cancer metastasis.
Karalis, V.
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The aim of this study was to develop a framework for assessing the incremental value of decisions on drug amount, timing, input structure, cessation and restart. The LOGOS (Longitudinal Optimization of Global Outcomes and Strategies) approach combines matched nested regimen classes, mechanism-specific benchmarks and evidence requirements in a single longitudinal comparison. Thus, the contribution of additional regimen freedom is assessed separately from improvements due to different resources, constraints or evaluation horizons. Nested feasible classes have nondecreasing objective suprema, whereas a strict gain requires a feasible witness above a valid bound for the smaller class. The approach is illustrated through analytical examples of periodic smoothing, matched desensitization, relaxed exposure allocation, finite-course loading and safety after cessation. In a normalized finite Emax model, integrated benefit increased from 0.629606 for three equal boluses to 0.672945 after optimization of amounts, 0.677043 for an amount-and-time candidate and 0.679553 for a globally certified loading-maintenance-coast solution. The adjacent observed gains were 6.88%, 0.61% and 0.37%, respectively, and all schedules satisfied the full-tail injury bound. In addition, a periodic factorial example separated response curvature from a joint recovery and repair process, including a null case and results dependent on feasibility constraints. The LOGOS framework allows assessment of whether additional regimen flexibility improves benefit, provides no added value or restores feasibility. These dimensionless examples support conditional mathematical and model-based conclusions; clinical superiority and safe restart in patients have not been established.
Brown, B. R. P.; Li, X.; Grasty, M. R.; Miranker, A. D.; Gursoy, G.
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Cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) contains brain derived proteins that can be leveraged as biomarkers for Alzheimer's disease (AD) and other neurodegenerative diseases. However, converting protein intensities to a disease signal remains a challenge because physiology driven changes to the localization of proteins across CSF subcompartments are obscured when CSF is analyzed alone. Where subcompartment data, such as that from extracellular vesicles (EVs), are also measured, separate but parallel analyses of EVs and CSF can obscure their shared disease signal. Here, we present an integrated matrix factorization approach that combines proteomic signals from matched CSF and phosphatidylserine exposed EVs and nanoparticles (EVps). In a ROS/MAP cohort of 48 participants, integrating CSF and EVps signals improved biological concordance across compartments and increased the number of candidate proteins distinguishing participants with AD from controls. Notably, the joint signal identified as many brain related biomarker candidates as studies using substantially larger cohorts. By demonstrating that integration of CSF and EVps proteomes maximizes information from limited samples, this framework offers a path toward more efficient biomarker discovery across two compartments increasingly leveraged in neurodegenerative disease research.
de Pomereu, T.; Snelling, B.; Froehlich, F.
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Scientific discovery seeks mechanisms that explain observations and predict beyond the measurements that produced them. Whereas large language models (LLMs) encode knowledge implicitly, mechanistic world models organise it as a parsimonious set of explicit, modular, reusable mechanisms whose predictions can be scored against data. In biology, where measurements are sparse and noisy, mechanistic world modelling must discover latent states and governing equations jointly, yet the prior knowledge that could constrain this search is largely unstructured. We introduce gemot, an agentic framework for mechanistic world modelling, and evaluate it on 18 published biological problems spanning molecular biology, epidemiology, and immune-cell differentiation, with up to 1,755 training measurements, 65 observables, 170 experimental conditions, and 3 data modalities per problem. gemot is auditable by construction: a semantic layer records each hypothesis, and a Model Context Protocol layer separates hypothesis formulation from numerical evaluation, so hypothesis scoring cannot be fabricated. On every problem, autonomously constructed models match or exceed the reference models in fit and parsimony, and generalise where held-outs exist. We demonstrate that gemot can formulate novel, biologically plausible mechanistic hypotheses. This work will enable decoding of interventional biological data into competing mechanistic hypotheses and design experiments that distinguish between them, and may serve as a blueprint for mechanistic world modelling in other domains.
Ramirez Flores, R. O.; Kruger Serrano, K. S.; Gaspar Vieira, F.; Vulliard, L.; Saez-Rodriguez, J.
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Single-cell and spatial technologies increasingly enable detailed molecular profiling of tissues across biological contexts, creating opportunities to relate variation across samples to the multicellular processes that give rise to differences in tissue organisation and function. However, existing tools typically treat these aspects separately, either representing variation across samples or interpreting specific molecular and spatial features. To bridge this gap, we developed multicellular Analysis of Sample Tissue Representations and Associations (mc-ASTRA; https://github.com/saezlab/mc-astra), an open-source Python package for constructing maps of tissue-state variability that combine diverse tissue descriptors, including molecular, compositional and spatial features, together with complementary sample-level information such as clinical measurements or technical covariates, and biological prior knowledge of processes of interest. By combining available flexible semi-supervised factor models with established tools for the inference of biological processes from omics data, mc-ASTRA makes these tissue-state maps interpretable by quantifying how different tissue descriptors contribute to variation across samples and by resolving the specific coordinated multicellular programs underlying these differences. We illustrate the capabilities of mc-ASTRA across multiple single-cell and spatial omics datasets to infer multicellular programs that are contextualized by technical and biological prior knowledge and to describe distinct trajectories of tissue remodeling. mc-ASTRA provides a framework for building interpretable sample maps that connect tissue organization and multicellular mechanisms with variation observed across samples.
Shi, J.
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MicroRNAs (miRNAs) are implicated in Alzheimer's disease (AD), but research has focused on individual miRNAs and direct targets. Existing approaches to miRNA regulation in AD identify associations rather than causal effects, and few methods estimate multi-stage chains from miRNAs through target genes to target transcription factor (TF) cascades. We developed the LSD pipeline (LASSO-SEM-DoWhy), integrating LASSO feature selection, multi-stage structural equation modeling, and DoWhy causal inference to identify and validate miRNA causal pathways in AD. Applying LSD to six blood miRNA and brain mRNA datasets, we identified four LSD-validated miRNAs (miR-30d-5p, miR-92a-3p, miR-296-5p, miR-193a-5p) as AD biomarkers, achieving >86% ROC accuracy in an independent validation cohort. Several miRNAs with no significant direct association with AD showed significant effects when estimated through their target networks, while others significant in direct analysis were not supported at the network level, underscoring the value of network-level analysis. Extending to the TF layer revealed complete miRNA [->] targets [->] TF cascades [->] AD causal chains, with HMGA1, NKX2-3, and PRRX2 as key intermediaries. Confirmed classic pathways converge primarily on tau pathology and synaptic dysfunction. miRNA effects were largely age-independent, suggesting miRNAs act as early initiators of AD pathogenesis. Beyond AD, the LSD pipeline provides a generalizable framework for uncovering causal regulatory mechanisms in other diseases.
Goryanin, I.; Goryanin, I.; Damms, B.
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Large language model (LLM) agents can propose combination therapies and construct supporting mechanistic models far quicker than either can be verified. To address this gap, we built a gated agentic AI quantitative systems pharmacology (Ai QSP) workflow where no hypothesis reaches a report until it clears strict hurdles for precedent, evidence, structural integrity, and release. We applied this pipeline end to end to healthy-ageing interventions. It began with a 34 state model calibrated on clinical trial data for semaglutide and metformin. Locked and evaluated against an independent post hoc DNA methylation trial, the model captured the direction of change across all 9 organ and system clocks, but the magnitude was far too small: it predicted about 0.14 years per year where 1.6 were observed, halting tier promotion. The workflow then generated seven nutritional combination hypotheses (H1H7) with 48 new parameters encoded in SBML. Identifiability analysis showed that 37 of these were completely unconstrained by available data. Trimming the model down to its lead pairing - a food derived bioactive (Agent A) plus a single-strain probiotic (Agent B left six identifiable parameters and locked the uncalibrated interaction term at zero. From this reduced model, we derived an 84 day trial with a 28 day washout, requiring 356 participants for 80% power at an interaction ratio of 0.75. A 9,000 person virtual trial confirmed the design (80.5% power), but revealed an operational trap: an assay floor at 24 mg/kg slashed power to 33% and skewed estimates toward the null, forcing a protocol-level censoring condition before study lock. Testing the pipeline across downstream operational stages and comparative oncology programmes showed that unconstrained generation consistently over-reports novelty, topological entry points can masquerade as biological mechanism, and governance gates remain vulnerable to operator overrides. Ultimately, the workflow delivered no silver bullet: its output is a single testable interaction, an assay hardened trial design, and an audit trail documenting why the other six hypotheses were shelved. Agent identities, doses, and agent specific sources are withheld in this version pending patent filing.
Bennett, K.; Chantzichristos, D.; Garner, T.; Jansson, P.-A.; Meyer, A.; Doman, E.; McQueen, J.; Svensson, P.-A.; Ragnarsson, O.; Johannsson, G.; Stevens, A.
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Glucocorticoids (GCs) are regulators of metabolism, yet how physiological GC exposure remodels adipose metabolism and its relationship with circulating biomarkers remains poorly understood. In a randomised cross-over study of individuals with primary adrenal insufficiency, near-physiological GC exposure was compared to withdrawal using integrated serum metabolomics, abdominal subcutaneous microdialysis metabolomics, and adipose tissue transcriptomics. GC exposure induced coordinated changes in adipose lipid and amino-acid metabolism. Pathway-level entropy analysis revealed GC-state-dependent transcriptional reorganisation, with concentrated organisation during exposure and diffuse organisation during withdrawal. Integrative hypergraph and topological analyses revealed GC-state-dependent reorganisation of circulating metabolite-adipose tissue relationships, with greater higher-order coordination during exposure. The circulating phenylalanine/kynurenine ratio discriminated GC state, showed the strongest shared connectivity to GC-regulated adipose networks, persisted at midnight and in an independent dose-response study, and exhibited circadian rhythmicity. These findings reveal dynamic GC regulation of adipose metabolism and identify a circulating biomarker with potential to guide personalised GC therapy.
Peltier, C.; Mourabit, O.; Andriot, I.; Coulibaly, K.; Trelea, I. C.
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The perception of flavor during food consumption is a complex process governed by the dynamic release of aroma compounds, which is influenced by the interaction between the food matrix and human physiology. While mechanistic models have been developed to simulate these phenomena, their practical application has often been limited by the lack of flexible software tools capable of integrating diverse food structures and real-time physiological data. This study addresses this gap by incorporating in vivo mechanistic models for both liquid foods and melting solid matrices in a modular Python-based framework: digimouth. The modeling approach treats the oral, pharyngeal, and nasal cavities as a series of interconnected reactors with mass transfer governed by ordinary differential equations (ODEs). These models explicitly integrate key physiological parameters, including salivary flow, bidirectional respiratory airflow, and discrete events such as mastication and swallowing. For solid foods, the framework incorporates additional mechanisms for matrix dissolution, temperature-dependent melting, and dynamic surface area change. The models were validated using experimental data from 30 subjects who consumed aroma solutions and flavored gelatin gummy discs while monitored by PTR-MS (Proton Transfer Reaction - Mass Spectrometry). The simulations successfully reproduced the main kinetic features and release profiles observed experimentally for both types of matrices. Despite some limitations related to the self-reporting of physiological events and the non-inclusion of initial orthonasal mass transfer in the models, the developed software package proved to be a robust and evolutive tool. It offers a foundation for exploring inter-individual variability and the impact of complex food structures on sensory perception.
Prakash, R.; Sen, S.
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Kinetic parameters in engineered biomolecular circuits are typically known only within intervals and are not precisely tunable; controller synthesis is therefore naturally posed over sets of gains rather than at a single nominal design. We formulate robust controller tuning under parametric plant uncertainty as a universally quantified set-inversion problem: given a plant-parameter box, compute the controller gains that stabilize every plant in the box. Robust stability is decided by Hurwitz sign conditions, which are bounded over the joint gain-parameter domain using validated range enclosures, yielding machine-checkable certificates of local exponential stability of the deterministic equilibrium. Numerical experiments show that the certified region depends strongly on the range enclosure. For an antithetic integral feedback (AIF) controller acting on a two-species gene-expression cascade, a tensor-product Bernstein enclosure certifies 83.2% of the design plane at bisection tolerance epsilon=0.05 with 324 terminal boxes, whereas four baseline enclosures certify between 50.9% and 58.9% on the same paving. For a fifth-order loop, the certified fraction increases from 34.4% to 73.8%, and the certified and excluded terminal boxes confine the robustly stabilizing area to a window of about 2.1 percentage points. Finally, for a refining variant of the algorithm in which the plant box is refined alongside the design box, the undecided area satisfies |U(epsilon)|=O(epsilon) under a non-degeneracy assumption on the stability boundary.
Belic, M.; Furman, D.
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Aging is a network-level phenomenon, with its hallmarks interacting through dense feedback loops across vastly different timescales. Decades of reductionist research have produced thousands of mechanistic models of narrow subsystems, but no straightforward way to integrate them into one comprehensive system. Consequently, whole-cell and multi-hallmark aging models remain rare, manually constructed, and relatively small, despite broad agreement on their importance. The emergence of autonomous research agents offers a way to distribute this modeling effort across humans and artificial intelligence and thereby greatly accelerate it, but only if the underlying substrate allows agents to readily compose and analyze models with built-in validation checks and modeling guidance, without extensive custom code. We present hallsim, a JAX-native compositional simulation framework designed as the mechanistic substrate for agent-orchestrated research. It provides composability, end-to-end differentiability, GPU execution, and automated analysis and model-selection tools that facilitate composite model construction and fine tuning. The framework makes it easier to propose a mechanistic hypothesis, integrate it into an existing composite, reparametrize it against observed data, and batch-test it across different initial conditions. We demonstrate the co-simulation and in silico perturbation of three independently published kinetic models spanning genomic instability, nutrient sensing, and proteostasis. The models are connected by four edges and calibrated against a public dataset. Additionally, we train a Neural ODE surrogate and compose it alongside the mechanistic modules in a hybrid composite, demonstrating that mechanistic and neural models can function as complementary components of the same system.
Roncalli, T.; Remy, E.; Pauleve, L.
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Predictive logical models have made substantial contributions to biomedical research by facilitating the identification of regulatory mechanisms driving biological processes. Yet, their construction remains a major bottleneck, as it typically relies on extensive prior knowledge at the genome scale. The emergence of high-throughput omics technologies has opened new opportunities for data-driven logical model construction by providing high-resolution observations of biological states. In parallel, formal constraint-based approaches have emerged, reformulating executable model inference as a constraint-satisfaction problem. However, transforming omics observations into biologically meaningful Boolean state abstractions and dynamical constraints suitable for logical synthesis engines remains challenging, particularly for poorly understood biological systems and multi-condition experimental settings. To address these challenges, we introduce scBOLT, a semi-automated framework for Boolean constraint engineering and logical model inference from multi-condition single-cell transcriptomes. Beyond these methodological contributions, scBOLT substantially improves computational tractability, enabling the inference of Boolean networks comprising several hundred components within practical runtimes.
Hu, K.; Zhang, Y.; Feng, L.; Yang, Q.; Li, Z.; Pan, P.; He, F.
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Quantitative characterization of cell proliferation is central to preclinical drug discovery. Here, we evaluated Random Forest (RF) regression for predicting confluence-based cell growth trends using data from human cancer cell lines and benchmarked its performance against the widely used logistic and Gompertz models. The RF model achieved higher predictive accuracy within the evaluated dataset, particularly at higher initial seeding densities. We further extended the RF framework to predict growth curves across seeding densities. Collectively, these findings highlight the potential of data-driven modeling to complement conventional mathematical approaches and support more informed cell-culture design.
Akin, U.; Aykir, O. F.; PELEN, N. N.; Kaplan, M.
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Estimating the postmortem submersion interval (PMSI) remains challenging due to complex biological and environmental interactions during aquatic decomposition. This study proposes a reduced mechanistic ordinary differential equation (ODE) model linking tissue degradation, microbial activity, and dissolved oxygen dynamics. Calibrated against the total aquatic decomposition score (TADS) trajectory for Northern Adriatic Sea cases, the model preserves a strictly monotone TADS--time relationship, ensuring unique numerical inversion from observed TADS to PMSI. Synthetic observation experiments evaluated how data selection influences parameter recovery, practical identifiability, and robustness under measurement uncertainty. Microbial measurements improved parameter recovery for microbial dynamics, whereas dissolved oxygen measurements constrained oxygen-consumption and renewal processes. Combining both types of observation optimized the recovery of coupled parameters. Trajectory reconstruction, profile likelihood analysis, boundary-hit frequencies, and Monte Carlo simulations confirmed these findings. Importantly, while all observation strategies reproduced TADS with comparable accuracy, they differed substantially in recovering underlying biological parameters and latent-state dynamics. Thus, accurately reproducing decomposition scores alone is insufficient for reliable parameter inference. This framework provides a transparent and biologically interpretable foundation for the mechanistic estimation of PMSI. Future applications to case-level and multi-site datasets may enable site-specific recalibration and improved predictive evaluation across diverse aquatic environments.